Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.153372 1.304199 1.469025 1.662796 1.884710 2.131323 2.426710
2025-12-14 0.899949 1.092887 1.320616 1.610295 1.970476 2.405515 2.973703
2025-12-21 0.728187 0.936389 1.197890 1.552655 2.024775 2.636162 3.495468
2025-12-28 0.649009 0.876767 1.178645 1.611926 2.224217 3.068004 4.335240
2026-01-04 0.583244 0.822067 1.153676 1.653592 2.398349 3.482916 5.211560
2026-01-11 0.529219 0.774311 1.128900 1.687376 2.559761 3.895263 6.142742
2026-01-18 0.481588 0.728482 1.099055 1.706183 2.696242 4.282691 7.089679
2026-01-25 0.431741 0.672557 1.045963 1.679607 2.753523 4.546719 7.867507
2026-02-01 0.380188 0.607733 0.970822 1.606432 2.721309 4.652908 8.380257
2026-02-08 0.341673 0.559595 0.916865 1.561023 2.728495 4.824088 9.031729
2026-02-15 0.310532 0.520335 0.873170 1.527355 2.750497 5.021588 9.759292
2026-02-22 0.296746 0.509100 0.875775 1.575677 2.927615 5.528769 11.179040
2026-03-01 0.277712 0.487826 0.860372 1.592645 3.054578 5.971242 12.575447
2026-03-08 0.254705 0.457232 0.825203 1.568400 3.098439 6.256346 13.692039
2026-03-15 0.231580 0.424151 0.782045 1.523407 3.094171 6.441229 14.619418
2026-03-22 0.223974 0.419508 0.792220 1.586514 3.324872 7.165477 16.954398
2026-03-29 0.214642 0.410528 0.792866 1.629745 3.518312 7.836755 19.297698
2026-04-05 0.205124 0.400189 0.789605 1.664019 3.696198 8.499744 21.758539
2026-04-12 0.194910 0.387421 0.779982 1.682995 3.841089 9.106329 24.197899
2026-04-19 0.181521 0.366830 0.751907 1.657007 3.874948 9.442699 25.955929
2026-04-26 0.165456 0.339184 0.706149 1.584982 3.786107 9.451317 26.766511
2026-05-03 0.153090 0.318423 0.673504 1.540267 3.760185 9.622070 28.102917
2026-05-10 0.142700 0.301089 0.646885 1.507099 3.759711 9.862016 29.709007